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Monday, January 26, 2026

State terror in America

Click here for an excellent op-ed in The New York Times by M. Gessen, entitled "State Terror has Arrived." Gessen begins:

After the past three weeks of brutality in Minneapolis, it should no longer be possible to say that the Trump administration seeks merely to govern this nation. It seeks to reduce us all to a state of constant fear — a fear of violence from which some people may at a given moment be spared, but from which no one will ever be truly safe. That is our new national reality. State terror has arrived. 

He compares what is going on in America today to state terror in Nazi Germany and Soviet Russia, and finishes:

The toolbox isn’t particularly varied. President Trump is using all the instruments: the reported quotas for ICE arrests; the paramilitary force made up of thugs drunk on their own brutality; the spectacle of random violence, particularly in city streets; the postmortem vilification of the victims. It’s only natural that our brains struggle to find logic in what we are seeing. There is a logic, and this logic has a name. It’s called state terror. 

Sunday, January 25, 2026

President Obama on the shooting of Alex Pretti

Statement by President Obama and Mrs. Obama:

JANUARY 25, 2026

"The killing of Alex Pretti is a heartbreaking tragedy. It should also be a wake-up call to every American, regardless of party, that many of our core values as a nation are increasingly under assault.

Federal law enforcement and immigration agents have a tough job. But Americans expect them to carry out their duties in a lawful, accountable way, and to work with, rather than against, state and local officials to ensure public safety.

That's not what we're seeing in Minnesota. In fact, we're seeing the opposite.

For weeks now, people across the country have been rightly outraged by the spectacle of masked ICE recruits and other federal agents acting with impunity and engaging in tactics that seem designed to intimidate, harass, provoke and endanger the residents of a major American city. These unprecedented tactics—which even the former top lawyer of the Department of Homeland Security in the first Trump administration has characterized as embarrassing, lawless and cruel—have now resulted in the fatal shootings of two U.S. citizens. And yet rather than trying to impose some semblance of discipline and accountability over the agents they've deployed, the President and current administration officials seem eager to escalate the situation, while offering public explanations for the shootings of Mr. Pretti and Renee Good that aren't informed by any serious investigation—and that appear to be directly contradicted by video evidence.

This has to stop. I would hope that after this most recent tragedy, administration officials will reconsider their approach, and start finding ways to work constructively with Governor Walz and Mayor Frey as well as state and local police to avert more chaos and achieve legitimate law enforcement goals.

In the meantime, every American should support and draw inspiration from the wave of peaceful protests in Minneapolis and other parts of the country. They are a timely reminder that ultimately it's up to each of us as citizens to speak out against injustice, protect our basic freedoms, and hold our government accountable."


 Here's an entry on Democracy Docket by stalwart Democratic lawyer Marc Elias:

January 24, 2026

Only a day before Donald Trump stood on a global stage and declared that he was prosecuting political enemies, Prime Minister Mark Carney issued an important warning: “We know the old order is not coming back. We shouldn't mourn it. Nostalgia is not a strategy.”

Like many families, mine came to America to flee persecution. Under the Russian czars, they lived in the Pale of Settlement — the only area in the empire where Jews were allowed to legally reside. Life in the Pale was difficult. Jewish families were subject to pogroms, where they would be beaten, killed and expelled from their villages.  

America wasn’t the only safe haven, but it was certainly a safe haven for many — including my family. As Holocaust survivor Benjamin Meed was told when his boat docked at New York Harbor after the long journey from Warsaw, “Everything is open to you. What you do is up to you.” 

That America doesn’t exist anymore. And we cannot afford to be nostalgic for it. Yet, we still are. 

During his testimony on Thursday, former Special Counsel Jack Smith warned: “If we do not hold the most powerful people in our society to the same standards, the rule of law, it can be catastrophic. It can endanger our election process, it can endanger election workers and ultimately, our democracy.” 

While I agree with the threat posed by Trump, I worry about Smith’s use of the word “if.” We do not hold the most powerful people in our society to the same standards. The rule of law is not applied fairly or to all.  

Our election process is already endangered. Election officials are regularly doxed and attacked by Trump and his supporters. Our democracy is already on life support. It is already catastrophic.  

Worse still, it’s not coming back. Those who are looking in the rearview mirror and expecting the rule of law to crawl back to us are fooling themselves. Those who expect the old norms and institutions to protect us are endangering our democracy.

For over a year now, Trump has targeted and threatened his political opponents. His administration has ignored court orders. His party is actively trying to manipulate and rig the next election for his political party.  

The paradox of the current moment is that while none of this is normal, it is also not extraordinary. It is the country in which we live, and we are not going back to a previous era. Those who sit around and insist things will revert after Trump is gone have learned nothing from the history of why many of our families once fled to this country.  

It’s heartbreaking that this is what the United States has come to. But we are doing ourselves a disservice by thinking otherwise.  

From what I witnessed at Davos, our NATO allies have come to terms with the new world order. The United States is no longer a steady ally and a trusted global power — but an unstable volcano ready to erupt. We cannot be looked to for democracy, nor can we be the torchbearers for peace. They should be wary of us, and they should be prepared for uncertainty. 

Just as nostalgia is not a strategy for them, it cannot be one for those of us who care about democracy and free and fair elections.  

There are no longer huddled masses at the Statue of Liberty. Instead, we see ICE agents terrorizing our cities.  

Our government no longer believes that its power comes from the consent of the governed. Instead, Trump believes power comes from threats and force.  

Most importantly, we no longer have a country in which we have one system of justice for all, and no one is above the law.  

However, if we allow ourselves to let go of nostalgia and recognize our current reality, we can, as Carney said, “build something better, stronger, more just.”  

 

Thursday, January 22, 2026

Courageous Carney vs. Demented Donald

Click here for Paul Krugman's Substack entry for January 22. It's a comparison of Mark Carney's and Donald Trump's statements at the Davos meeting of the World Economic Forum.

Wednesday, January 21, 2026

Carney's speech at Davos - met with wide acclaim

Trump despises weakness, and treats those who roll over for him with contempt. Here is Mark Carney's courageous statement of Canada's position:

Every day we are reminded that we live in an era of great power rivalry. That the rules-based order is fading. That the strong do what they can, and the weak suffer what they must. This aphorism of Thucydides is presented as inevitable — the natural logic of international relations reasserting itself.

And faced with this logic, there is a strong tendency for countries to go along to get along. To accommodate. To avoid trouble. To hope that compliance will buy safety. It won’t. So, what are our options?

In 1978, the Czech dissident Václav Havel wrote an essay called The Power of the Powerless. In it, he asked a simple question: how did the communist system sustain itself?

His answer began with a green grocer. Every morning, this shopkeeper places a sign in his window: “Workers of the world, unite!” He does not believe it. No one believes it. But he places the sign anyway — to avoid trouble, to signal compliance, to get along. And because every shopkeeper on every street does the same, the system persists.

Not through violence alone, but through the participation of ordinary people in rituals they privately know to be false.

Havel called this “living within a lie.” The system’s power comes not from its truth but from everyone’s willingness to perform as if it were true. And its fragility comes from the same source: when even one person stops performing — when the greengrocer removes his sign — the illusion begins to crack.

It is time for companies and countries to take their signs down.

For decades, countries like Canada prospered under what we called the rules-based international order. We joined its institutions, praised its principles, and benefited from its predictability. We could pursue values-based foreign policies under its protection.

We knew the story of the international rules-based order was partially false. That the strongest would exempt themselves when convenient. That trade rules were enforced asymmetrically. And that international law applied with varying rigour depending on the identity of the accused or the victim

This fiction was useful, and American hegemony, in particular, helped provide public goods: open sea lanes, a stable financial system, collective security, and support for frameworks for resolving disputes.

So, we placed the sign in the window. We participated in the rituals. And largely avoided calling out the gaps between rhetoric and reality.

This bargain no longer works.

Let me be direct: we are in the midst of a rupture, not a transition. Over the past two decades, a series of crises in finance, health, energy, and geopolitics laid bare the risks of extreme global integration.

More recently, great powers began using economic integration as weapons. Tariffs as leverage. Financial infrastructure as coercion. Supply chains as vulnerabilities to be exploited.

You cannot “live within the lie” of mutual benefit through integration when integration becomes the source of your subordination.

The multilateral institutions on which middle powers relied— the WTO, the UN, the COP—the architecture of collective problem solving — are greatly diminished.

As a result, many countries are drawing the same conclusions. They must develop greater strategic autonomy: in energy, food, critical minerals, in finance, and supply chains.

This impulse is understandable. A country that cannot feed itself, fuel itself, or defend itself has few options. When the rules no longer protect you, you must protect yourself.

But let us be clear-eyed about where this leads. A world of fortresses will be poorer, more fragile, and less sustainable.

And there is another truth: If great powers abandon even the pretence of rules and values for the unhindered pursuit of their power and interests, the gains from ‘transactionalism’ become harder to replicate. Hegemons cannot continually monetize their relationships.

Allies will diversify to hedge against uncertainty. Buy insurance. Increase options. This rebuilds sovereignty — sovereignty which was once grounded in rules—but which will be increasingly anchored in the ability to withstand pressure.

This classic risk management comes at a price.

But that cost of strategic autonomy, of sovereignty, can also be shared. Collective investments in resilience are cheaper than everyone building their own fortress.

Shared standards reduce fragmentation. Complementarities are positive sum.

The question for middle powers, like Canada, is not whether to adapt to this new reality. We must. The question is whether we adapt by simply building higher walls — or whether we can do something more ambitious.

Canada was amongst the first to hear the wake-up call, leading us to fundamentally shift our strategic posture.

Canadians know that our old, comfortable assumption that our geography and alliance memberships automatically conferred prosperity and security is no longer valid.

Our new approach rests on what Alexander Stubb has termed ‘values-based realism’ — or, to put it another way, we aim to be principled and pragmatic.

Principled in our commitment to fundamental values: sovereignty and territorial integrity, the prohibition of the use of force except when consistent with the UN Charter, respect for human rights.

Pragmatic in recognising that progress is often incremental, that interests diverge, that not every partner shares our values. We are engaging broadly, strategically, with open eyes. We actively take on the world as it is, not wait for the world as we wish it to be.

Canada is calibrating our relationships, so their depth reflects our values. We are prioritising broad engagement to maximise our influence, given the fluidity of the world, the risks that this poses, and the stakes for what comes next.

We are no longer relying on just the strength of our values, but also on the value of our strength.

We are building that strength at home.

Since my government took office, we have cut taxes on incomes, capital gains and business investment, we have removed all federal barriers to interprovincial trade, and we are fast-tracking a trillion dollars of investment in energy, AI, critical minerals, new trade corridors, and beyond.

We are doubling our defence spending by 2030 and are doing so in ways that builds our domestic industries.

We are rapidly diversifying abroad. We have agreed a comprehensive strategic partnership with the European Union, including joining SAFE, Europe’s defence procurement arrangements.

We have signed twelve other trade and security deals on four continents in the last six months. In the past few days, we have concluded new strategic partnerships with China and Qatar. We are negotiating free trade pacts with India, ASEAN, Thailand, Philippines, Mercosur.

To help solve global problems, we are pursuing variable geometry— different coalitions for different issues, based on values and interests.

On Ukraine, we are a core member of the Coalition of the Willing and one of the largest per-capita contributors to its defence and security. On Arctic sovereignty, we stand firmly with Greenland and Denmark and fully support their unique right to determine Greenland’s future. Our commitment to Article 5 is unwavering.

We are working with our NATO allies (including the Nordic Baltic 8) to further secure the alliance’s northern and western flanks, including through unprecedented investments in over-the-horizon radar, submarines, aircraft, and boots on the ground.

On plurilateral trade, we are championing efforts to build a bridge between the Trans-Pacific Partnership and the European Union, creating a new trading block of 1.5 billion people. On critical minerals, we are forming buyer’s clubs anchored in the G7 so that the world can diversify away from concentrated supply. On AI, we are cooperating with like-minded democracies to ensure we will not ultimately be forced to choose between hegemons and hyperscalers.

This is not naive multilateralism. Nor is it relying on diminished institutions. It is building the coalitions that work, issue by issue, with partners who share enough common ground to act together. In some cases, this will be the vast majority of nations.

And it is creating a dense web of connections across trade, investment, culture on which we can draw for future challenges and opportunities.Middle powers must act together because if you are not at the table, you are on the menu.

Great powers can afford to go it alone. They have the market size, the military capacity, the leverage to dictate terms. Middle powers do not. But when we only negotiate bilaterally with a hegemon, we negotiate from weakness.

We accept what is offered. We compete with each other to be the most accommodating. This is not sovereignty. It is the performance of sovereignty while accepting subordination.

In a world of great power rivalry, the countries in between have a choice: to compete with each other for favour or to combine to create a third path with impact.

We should not allow the rise of hard power to blind us to the fact that the power of legitimacy, integrity, and rules will remain strong — if we choose to wield it together. Which brings me back to Havel. What would it mean for middle powers to “live in truth”?

It means naming reality. Stop invoking the “rules-based international order” as though it still functions as advertised. Call the system what it is: a period where the most powerful pursue their interests using economic integration as a weapon of coercion.

It means acting consistently. Apply the same standards to allies and rivals.

When middle powers criticize economic intimidation from one direction but stay silent when it comes from another, we are keeping the sign in the window. It means building what we claim to believe in. Rather than waiting for the hegemon to restore an order it is dismantling, create institutions and agreements that function as described.

And it means reducing the leverage that enables coercion. Building a strong domestic economy should always be every government’s priority. Diversification internationally is not just economic prudence; it is the material foundation for honest foreign policy. Countries earn the right to principled stands by reducing their vulnerability to retaliation.

Canada has what the world wants. We are an energy superpower. We hold vast reserves of critical minerals. We have the most educated population in the world. Our pension funds are amongst the world’s largest and most sophisticated investors. We have capital, talent, and a government with the immense fiscal capacity to act decisively.

And we have the values to which many others aspire.

Canada is a pluralistic society that works. Our public square is loud, diverse, and free. Canadians remain committed to sustainability. We are a stable, reliable partner—in a world that is anything but—a partner that builds and values relationships for the long term.

Canada has something else: a recognition of what is happening and a determination to act accordingly. We understand that this rupture calls for more than adaptation. It calls for honesty about the world as it is. We are taking the sign out of the window.

The old order is not coming back. We should not mourn it. Nostalgia is not a strategy. But from the fracture, we can build something better, stronger, and more just.

This is the task of the middle powers, who have the most to lose from a world of fortresses and the most to gain from a world of genuine cooperation.

The powerful have their power. But we have something too — the capacity to stop pretending, to name reality, to build our strength at home, and to act together.

That is Canada’s path. We choose it openly and confidently.

And it is a path wide open to any country willing to take it with us.


Tuesday, January 20, 2026

"Caring Guy" knocks it out of the park -- again.

Trump's madness

There are a wealth of posts out there castigating Trump. Here's a good one, by Michael Jochum:

One year in — and the stench is unmistakable.
 
Donald Trump, at seventy-nine, has come to embody the very worst distortions of the baby-boom generation he so desperately claims to represent. Where there could have been wisdom, there is only vanity. Where there might have been experience, there is only grievance. Where age should have brought perspective, it has produced nothing but brittle ego and reactionary cruelty.
 
We, most of the people of the United States, were humiliated that you were president in 2016. Now, in 2025, we are not merely embarrassed, we are mortified that you occupy the Oval Office again.
 
As a man, you display the most contemptible traits your gender can offer: boorishness dressed up as “strength,” cruelty masquerading as toughness, and insecurity so raw it leaks into every decision you make. Men and women across the world recoil at your nastiness, your sexism, your bullying, your perpetual adolescent need to dominate and belittle.
 
As an American, you possess a chilling absence of compassion. You look at the vulnerable, the poor, the sick, the immigrant, the worker, and see not fellow citizens but expendable props in your narcissistic theater. You slash their benefits while scheming to protect your own hidden privileges. You posture as a “billionaire” while treating the less fortunate as if they exist only to serve your lifestyle.
 
As a supposed steward of democracy, you are a walking repudiation of everything the Founders envisioned. Your presidency is not public service; it is personal enrichment and political vengeance. You manifest a stunning ignorance of how government actually works, yet you wield power with reckless arrogance.
 
Educated people are not “confused” by you, they are stupefied by your incompetence. Your speech is a toxic paella, tangle of incoherence, your thinking shallow, your grasp of facts tenuous at best. You fumble words, distort reality, and weaponize ignorance like a badge of honor.
 
Physically and morally, you present a grotesque spectacle: absurd hair, ill-fitting suits, a posture of manufactured bravado that barely conceals a cowardly core. You are weak in character, devoid of empathy, desperate for validation, and incapable of confronting the truth, about yourself, your crimes, or your country.
 
And yet, through a grotesque fluke of history, you became the most powerful person in the world, first in 2016, and now again. That fact alone will stain this era forever.
 
The Arctic Delusion, A First-Year Catastrophe in the Making.
 
If your administration follows through on its Arctic fantasy of seizing Greenland, we must be brutally clear about what that means. This is not a “real estate deal.” It is not strategy. It is not bargaining. It is the geopolitical equivalent of pulling the pin on a grenade in a crowded elevator and smirking as the doors close.
 
The moment American boots touch Greenland to steal territory from a fellow NATO member, the world as we know it fractures. The consequences would not be symbolic or temporary, they would be total, permanent, and devastating.
 
First casualty: NATO itself.
Article 5 — the sacred promise that an attack on one is an attack on all, becomes a cruel joke the instant the United States attacks Denmark. Seventy-five years of European stability would evaporate overnight. Instead of leading the free world, America would manufacture a unified enemy across the Atlantic.
 
Second: military humiliation.
Europe would demand the closure of U.S. bases: Ramstein, Aviano, Lakenheath, gone. American power projection would collapse. We would be expelled from the very continent we helped defend, retreating like a chastened bully forced back into isolation. “Fortress America” would not be strength, it would be exile.
 
Third: economic annihilation.
The European Union, the largest market on Earth would weaponize its power. U.S. debt could be called in. Dollar reserves dumped. The greenback would spiral. Inflation would make post-COVID look trivial. Pensions, savings, retirement accounts, incinerated.
 
Corporate America would face extinction: Apple, Google, Tesla, McDonald’s, markets frozen, assets seized, access revoked. The stock exchange would not merely crash; it would seize up. De-globalization would become a lived catastrophe.
 
Fourth: isolation in the skies and on the seas.
Boeing jets grounded. U.S. airlines banned from European airspace. Transatlantic travel dead. Supply chains severed. Medicines, machinery, technology, cut off. The “indispensable nation” would become an island prison of its own making.
 
Fifth: cultural exile.
The Olympics. The World Cup. Global sport would treat the United States like Russia, a pariah. No Team USA, no prestige, only humiliation.
 
For ordinary Americans, the damage would be personal: visa-free travel gone, expatriates suddenly vulnerable, the blue passport transformed from privilege to liability.
 
And this break would not be temporary. You do not invade a democratic ally and simply apologize your way back into legitimacy. Europe would build systems designed to exclude us, militarily, financially, politically.
 
All of this, for a frozen island. A handful of minerals. A vanity project disguised as “national security.” Invading Greenland would not be strength. It would be national suicide.
 
The Man Behind the Madness
This Greenland fiasco is not strategy. It is the tantrum of a spoiled, thin-skinned autocrat who wraps his wounded ego in imperial rhetoric.
 
Your demand for “complete and total control” of Greenland, tied, absurdly, to your failure to win the Nobel Peace Prize, is the petulant logic of a crybaby king. A man who cannot tolerate rejection now threatens a NATO ally and toys with global stability because his feelings were hurt.
 
This is not leadership. It is toddler tyranny in a tailored suit.
 
You question Denmark’s “ownership” of Greenland as if borders are suggestions for men like you, men who believe power erases consent. You cloak a land grab in “national security” when every serious analyst knows it is nonsense. What you seek is not safety, but domination, not stability, but spectacle.
 
The fact that you are willing to risk the greatest transatlantic crisis in generations exposes the moral rot at the heart of your presidency.
 
Europe sees you clearly. Macron calls out your intimidation. Starmer condemns your coercion. Even Meloni pushes back. Our allies recognize you as what you are: a bully with tariffs instead of tanks, blackmail instead of diplomacy.
 
Meanwhile, Vladimir Putin watches with delight as you shred NATO unity and do Russia’s work for free.
 
The Cult of Enablers
 
But the most nauseating element of this first year is not just you, Donald Trump, it is the cult that cheers you on.
 
The true believers who call your madness “patriotism.” The voters who salivate at every threat, who mistake your tantrums for genius. They are willing accomplices in a regime that enriches billionaires, crushes the vulnerable, dismantles democratic norms, and normalizes the idea that America should behave like a rogue empire rather than a republic.
 
Your Greenland gambit is not a curiosity, it is a warning. A preview of what happens when a petulant would-be dictator is given power without restraint, surrounded by sycophants, and worshipped by a movement that confuses cruelty with courage.
 
If you get your way, the precedent will be unmistakable: borders mean nothing, allies are disposable, and the American presidency is a weapon for personal vendettas.
 
That is the world you are building, a world of bullies, billionaires, and broken democracies.
 
And anyone who still defends you is not merely misguided. They are complicit in the erosion of everything this country once claimed to stand for.
 
Postscript: A Year of Reckless Ruin
 
I cannot believe that more Americans are not taking your first year with the existential seriousness it demands. This is not political theater. It is not satire. It is not “Trump being Trump.”
 
It is a calculated drift toward authoritarian expansion dressed up as national security, and its consequences are potentially civilization-shattering.
 
What we are witnessing is not merely global humiliation for the United States, though it is that in abundance. It is a reckless march toward geopolitical catastrophe, driven by your bruised ego and enabled by a cult that mistakes brutality for strength.
 
You are not leading, you are lurching.
 
You are not protecting America — you are isolating it.
 
You are not preserving order, you are detonating it.
 
And still, 78 million Americans stand behind you.
 
When do they wake up? When NATO collapses? When the economy implodes? When American soldiers are sent into a needless, illegal war against a democratic ally? When their savings vanish, their jobs disappear, their children are dragged into a conflict that never should have existed?
 
How much destruction must occur before loyalty is finally exposed as delusion?
 
Because history will not remember you alone as the architect of this catastrophe. It will remember every single person who cheered you on while the world burned.
 
 
 
 

Parallels between ICE and the SA, or Sturmabteilung (Hitler's Brownshirts)

It's long, but I've copied in full an essay by a German documentarian named Neal McQueen, as Robert Reich says, "on the chilling parallels between ICE and Hitler’s Brownshirts": 

When History Starts to Rhyme

Neal McQueen

Ninety-two years apart, two documents authorized rapid expansion of forces empowered to use coercion against designated populations. The contexts differ. The mechanisms — hiring surges, compressed training, weakened oversight — follow a recognizable pattern.

On February 22, 1933, Prussian Interior Minister Hermann Göring signed an order deputizing 50,000 stormtroopers as auxiliary police. On January 20, 2025, President Donald Trump signed an executive order entitled “Protecting the American People Against Invasion.”

Both documents expanded the authority of organizations tasked with confronting what their political sponsors called “enemies within.”

The comparison that follows is not about moral equivalence. The Sturmabteilung was a party militia that murdered political opponents and helped lay the groundwork for genocide. Immigration and Customs Enforcement is a federal law enforcement agency operating under statutory authority. They represent different legal systems, different eras, and different constraints.

What the comparison examines is structural. It asks: what happens when a state rapidly expands a force authorized to use coercion against a designated population? The mechanisms — recruitment surges, relaxed vetting, compressed training, weakened oversight — produce similarly recognizable patterns. Do those patterns have predictive value for the present?

The Surge

By January 1931, the SA numbered roughly 77,000 members. Under Ernst Röhm’s leadership, recruitment surged. Within twelve months, membership reached 400,000. By the time Hitler became Chancellor in January 1933, the rolls showed approximately two million. The force had grown twenty-five-fold in two years. A sample from 1929-1933 found that over 77 percent of SA members were under thirty; nearly 59 percent were under twenty-five. Many were unemployed. The Great Depression had thrown millions out of work, and the SA offered what the labor market did not: a uniform, a purpose, a promise of action. Ideology mattered less than belonging.

ICE’s expansion followed a different path but a similar tempo. At Trump’s second inauguration, the agency employed approximately 10,000 officers and agents. The “One Big Beautiful Bill Act” (Big Ugly), signed into law in July 2025, devoted $150 billion over four years to border and deportation efforts — boosting ICE’s annual funding from roughly $10 billion toward $100 billion by 2029. A tenfold increase. By December 2025, the agency had onboarded 11,751 new employees. More than 56 percent of ICE’s workforce by New Year 2026 had less than one year on the job. The majority were rookies.

The recruitment campaigns differed in medium but shared a targeting logic. The SA charged no dues and asked for no credentials beyond a willingness to fight. ICE’s 2025 expansion lowered the minimum age to eighteen, eliminated the maximum age, dropped college degree requirements, and waived polygraph examinations under Direct Hire Authority. The Washington Post reported ICE spending over $100 million on a “wartime recruitment strategy” that placed ads on conservative podcasts, at NASCAR races, near military bases, and at gun shows. One poster asked: “Which Way, American Man?”—a phrase echoing nativist slogans about cultural decline.

Both organizations attracted a mixture of true believers and opportunists. According to Rudolf Diels, the first head of the Gestapo, roughly 70 percent of new SA recruits in Berlin during 1933 had been Communists — men who sensed which way the wind was blowing. ICE leadership in 2025 stated they sought people “inspired by MAGA ideology rather than by the typical perks of a federal badge.” One veteran ICE officer cautioned: “You’re gonna get a lot of people who are just power hungry and want authority.” Rapid hiring selects for zeal over judgment.

Authority Expanded

The SA spent twelve years in a legal gray zone before its February 1933 transformation. Weimar authorities viewed it as a private militia subverting the constitution. The organization operated quasi-legally as a “sports and gymnastics” club, with men armed with clubs, rubber truncheons, and brass knuckles rather than firearms. The Reichstag Fire Decree, issued six days after Göring’s deputization order, suspended civil liberties and shielded SA actions from legal consequences. The shift required no new legislation—only the will to use existing emergency powers without restraint.

ICE needed no such workaround. It inherited existing statutory authority under the Immigration and Nationality Act. What changed in January 2025 was how the executive branch chose to use that authority. Trump revoked Biden-era orders that had set enforcement priorities and limited certain ICE actions. DHS rescinded guidance that had barred enforcement at schools, hospitals, churches, and protests. An ICE memo required supervisory approval before action in formerly protected areas— but set no penalty for skipping approval. The restraint was nominal.

By September 2025, DHS announced over 1,000 agreements with local law enforcement— a 641 percent increase from approximately 150 such agreements before 2025. The Laken Riley Act mandated detention without bond for any non-citizen charged merely with a theft-related offense.

A crucial judicial development came in September 2025. In Noem v. Vasquez Perdomo, a lower federal court had enjoined ICE from making stops based solely on factors like race, language, location, or type of work. The Supreme Court stayed the injunction. Justice Kavanaugh’s concurrence reasoned that while ethnicity alone cannot create suspicion, the “totality of circumstances”— many undocumented residents in the vicinity, common work patterns, language — meant agents could use those factors collectively. Justice Sotomayor’s dissent condemned the ruling as declaring “all Latinos… who work low-wage jobs are fair game to be seized at any time.”

The outcome was similar across these two eras: a force authorized to use coercion against a designated population, operating with diminished oversight. The SA gained police powers in weeks. The change was visible and dramatic. ICE’s expansion was incremental and bureaucratic. Both ended in the same place: expanded latitude, weakened checks.

Training Compressed

The SA’s training was paramilitary but ad hoc. There was no formal academy. Manuals circulated with instructions on hand-to-hand combat and crowd control. The uniform’s psychological effect — intimidation through mass display — was integral to tactics. The SA’s strength lay in numbers and willingness to use force, not tactical competence.

ICE historically required approximately 13 weeks of comprehensive basic training at the Federal Law Enforcement Training Centers — covering immigration law, arrest procedures, firearms, defensive tactics, and Spanish language. In 2025, these timelines were cut by more than half. DHS officials confirmed academy training was cut to 47 days — roughly a 60 percent reduction. The number was symbolic: Trump is the 47th president. Spanish language training was eliminated or minimized; NBC News found recruits received only one week.

ICE asserted that “no subject matter has been cut.” Three ICE officials told The Atlantic that the reduction was purely to expedite deployment. Both statements cannot be true. A House Committee letter expressed concern about “a potential for an insufficiently trained and vetted force of thousands.” Over 200 recruits were pulled from training mid-course after belated background checks revealed disqualifying information.

The structural logic was the same: political leadership demanded immediate results. Training was the variable that could be cut.

Detention Expanded

Throughout 1933, SA regiments set up hundreds of improvised detention sites — “wild camps” — in abandoned factories, breweries, and cellars. The Oranienburg concentration camp near Berlin was established by SA troops in March 1933 without central permission. Local police acquiesced. By mid-1933, SA guards there were on the Prussian government payroll. The state did not shut the camps down. It paid for them. Conditions were brutal. Records document at least 16 prisoners killed by guards at Oranienburg alone. The camps were eventually absorbed into the formal concentration camp system. The state wanted terror, but organized terror.

ICE inherited a national detention infrastructure built starting in the 1980s. What changed in 2025 was its scale. The Big Ugly’s $45 billion detention allocation funded rapid construction. In 2025 alone, ICE opened 59 new sites and reopened 77 closed centers — 136 facilities in twelve months. The detained population nearly doubled, from roughly 39,000 to approximately 70,000 by January 2026. Capacity outpaced staffing, oversight, and medical care.

Communities learned of proposed facilities through news reports rather than formal consultation. In Social Circle, Georgia — population 5,000 — local officials expressed alarm at reports of a proposed 5,000 to 10,000 person detention center. The town, they noted, lacked sufficient water and sewer capacity. In Kansas City, the City Council enacted a five-year moratorium on non-municipal detention centers after learning DHS had scouted a warehouse as a potential 7,500 bed facility. Resistance was reactive. The scouting had already happened.

Thirty-two detainees died in ICE custody in 2025 — triple the prior year’s figure of eleven. The mechanisms differed from the wild camps’ documented murders. The outcome was the same: state-sanctioned detention that produces fatalities.

The “Enemy Within” Frame

Nazi ideology rested on a founding lie: the Dolchstoßlegende, or stab in-the-back myth, which held that Germany’s army had been betrayed from within by Jews, Marxists, and democrats. In Mein Kampf (1925), Hitler wrote: “Before one defeats external enemies, the enemy within oneself must first be annihilated.”

The Trump administration reshaped immigration enforcement with a structurally similar frame. Executive Order 14159, signed on inauguration day 2025, was titled “Protecting the American People Against Invasion.” The order framed illegal immigration not as a law enforcement matter but as a national security emergency.

The invasion frame transformed undocumented immigrants from lawbreakers into combatants. But it required an additional element: an explanation for why the “invasion” had been permitted. Soon before the 2024 election, Trump told Fox News: “I think the bigger problem is the enemy from within... . We have some very bad people, sick people, radical left lunatics.” He added: “The enemy from within is more dangerous than China or Russia.”

A year later, addressing military commanders at Quantico, Trump said: “The enemy from within is a bigger threat than any foreign enemy.”

Stephen Miller, Deputy White House Chief of Staff for Policy, provided the ideological framework. He depicted a clash between America’s “noble, virtuous people” rooted in “Judeo-Christian and Western heritage” and “forces of wickedness.” On Fox News in October 2025, he declared: “To all ICE officers: You have federal immunity... no city official, no state official, no illegal alien, no leftist agitator or domestic insurrectionist can prevent you from fulfilling your duties.”

The claim of “federal immunity” had no basis in law. DHS amplified the message as a “REMINDER.” The legal fiction did not matter. The permission did.

What We Know, What We Don’t

The parallels are well-documented: rapid expansion, lowered barriers, compressed training, expanded detention, and ideological framing of targets as existential threats.

What remains uncertain:

Whether ICE’s expansion exceeds institutional control. The SA’s trajectory was eventually curtailed not by external accountability but by Hitler’s purge of its leadership in June 1934, when Röhm’s ambitions threatened the regime’s alliance with the army. ICE faces no internal purge, and its political sponsors remain in power.

Whether American oversight mechanisms can constrain the agency. The DHS Inspector General has opened an investigation into training adjustments. Federal judges have issued injunctions that were subsequently stayed. Congressional Democrats have vowed to oppose new funding but acknowledge they lack votes to defund ICE. Trump’s Big Ugly bill locked in resources through 2029. Public opinion polling show that deportation operations have become “deeply unpopular,” but public opinion operates on different timelines than operational expansion.

Whether the “enemy within” framing will expand in application. The Nazi usage of der Feind im Inneren evolved from “November criminals” to “Jewish Bolsheviks” to simply “Jews.” So far, ICE has targeted undocumented immigrants, particularly Latinos. Yet Trump’s rhetoric embraces a broader category of “enemies within” including Democrats, federal bureaucrats, and media that criticize him. Whether operational targeting follows rhetorical expansion is not yet determined.

The comparison does not predict outcomes. It identifies mechanisms. The basic question it asks: once set in motion, can institutions control these trajectories? The record suggests it depends on whether oversight constrains domestic armies before they double in size.

HCR excoriates Trump

Click here for Heather Cox Richardson's diary entry for January 19.

Trump wrote the following letter to Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre of Norway:

“Dear Jonas: Considering your Country decided not to give me the Nobel Peace Prize for having stopped 8 Wars PLUS, I no longer feel an obligation to think purely of Peace, although it will always be predominant, but can now think about what is good and proper for the United States of America. Denmark cannot protect that land from Russia or China, and why do they have a ‘right of ownership’ anyway? There are no written documents, it’s only that a boat landed there hundreds of years ago, but we had boats landing there, also. I have done more for NATO than any other person since its founding, and now, NATO should do something for the United States. The World is not secure unless we have Complete and Total Control of Greenland. Thank you! President DJT” 

It's incredible to think that this bozo is actually the president of a formerly respected country. It's preposterous, and it's been universally ridiculed and scorned -- like its author. Someone named Garrett Graff wrote:

A superpower is [dying by] suicide because the [Republican] Congress is too cowardly to stand up to the Mad King. This is one of the wildest moments in all of geopolitics ever.” 

Richardson says: "In just a year since his second inauguration, Trump has torn apart the work that took almost a century of struggle and painstaking negotiations from the world’s best diplomats to build." She goes on to describe the creation and history of NATO, which has "stabilized the world for 75 years." She says:

Trump has taken the side of rising autocrats and taken aim at the rules-based international order with his insistence that the U.S. must control the Western Hemisphere. In service to that plan, he has propped up Argentina’s right-wing president Javier Milei and endorsed right-wing Honduran president Nasry Asfura, helping his election by pardoning former president Juan Orlando Hernández, a leading member of Asfura’s political party, who was serving 45 years in prison in the U.S. for drug trafficking. Trump ousted Venezuelan president Nicolás Maduro and seized control of much of Venezuela’s oil, the profits of which are going to an account in Qatar that Trump himself controls. 

Now Trump has launched a project that is apparently sort of a counter-United Nations with his proposed "Board of Peace." 

A draft charter for that institution gives Trump the presidency, the right to choose his successor, veto power over any actions, and control of the $1 billion fee permanent members are required to pay. In a letter to prospective members, Trump boasted that the Board of Peace is “the most impressive and consequential Board ever assembled,” and that “there has never been anything like it!” Those on it would, he said, “lead by example, and brilliantly invest in a secure and prosperous future for generations to come.”

The Kremlin says Putin, whose war on Ukraine has now lasted almost four years and who has been shunned from international organizations since his indictment by the International Criminal Court for war crimes, has received an invitation to that Board of Peace. So has Putin’s closest ally, President Alexander Lukashenko of Belarus, who Ivana Kottasová and Anna Chernova of CNN note has been called “Europe’s last dictator.” Also invited are Hungary’s prime minister and Putin ally Viktor Orbán as well as Javier Milei.

Aside from the Epstein files, Trump is apparently bothered by a couple of other things that are going on. Monday was Martin Luther King Jr. Day, and it probably drives Trump even more insane that King won the Nobel Peace Prize in 1964; he did not acknowledge King's Day, the first time that a U.S. President has done that since Reagan proclaimed the holiday in 1983.  The second is the fact that Jack Smith is to testify later this week "about Trump’s role in trying to overturn the results of the 2020 election. Smith told the House Judiciary Committee in December that he believed a jury would have found Trump guilty on four felony counts related to his actions."

Richaradson says "Smith knows what happened, and Trump knows that Smith knows what happened."

Tonight Danish troops—the same troops who stood shoulder to shoulder with U.S. troops in Afghanistan from 2001 to 2021—arrived in Greenland to defend the island from the United States of America. 

 Stranger than fiction. How much damage will Trump do before he is finally deposed?

 

 

Defiance and solidarity video for Greenland

Monday, January 19, 2026

Krugman: big business and Scott Bessent

Click here for Paul Krugman's Substack post for January 19, "Big Business Should End Its Faustian Bargain With Trump," subtitled "He’s out of control – and if you don’t hang together to counter him, you’ll hang separately."

Krugman thinks leaders of the biggest corporations have convinced themselves that Trump would institute reasonable economic policies -- including huge tax cuts and cuts to regulations, allowing them greater latitude to pollute the environment and cheat consumers -- and Scott Bessent, Treasury Secretary, would keep Trump under control.

That hasn't turned out to be the case. He's implementing disastrous economic policies -- like tariffs -- and Krugman says Bessent has abased himself and now grovels before Trump, defending his every ridiculous position. Krugman says Bessent must "humiliate himself in public on a regular basis. He no longer acts like a respectable Wall Street insider; now he behaves like a capo helping his mob boss run a protection racket."

Take a lesson from watching Scott Bessent – appease Trump and he will demand that you debase yourself even further. It’s been astonishing how quickly corporate greed has been replaced by corporate fear: Businesses who hoped to profit from Trump now toe the line because they’re afraid of being punished. 

He says the image of Trump as TACO -- Trump Always Chickens Out -- while a catchy slogan, has not turned out to be true: tariffs, deportations, escalation of force in Minneapolis.

Since the tariff-setting authority Trump is claiming only applies in a national emergency, Bessent was asked what national emergency justifies imposing tariffs in an attempt to seize Greenland. His answer: “The national emergency is avoiding a national emergency.” 

He says:

Campaign contributions won’t be enough: they must pour money into Trump’s ballroom, and/or his family’s pocket, and/or his crazy adventures in places like Venezuela or Gaza. Refraining from criticism of Trump’s policies won’t be enough. Instead they must become sycophants, enthusiastically supporting Trump’s policies — especially if those policies are deeply stupid. If they don’t go along the punishment will be personal as well as financial. 

 

 

Sunday, January 18, 2026

HCR: Today's Trump news

Click here for Heather Cox Richardson's diary entry for January 17. Some highlights:

After the extraordinary pushback on President Donald J. Trump’s bizarre demand for Greenland, he has responded with what economist Paul Krugman called “a howl of frustration on the part of a mad dictator who has just realized that he can’t send in the Marines.”

Responding to Trump's threats to take Greenland militarily, troops from a number of NATO members deployed to Greenland. Trump has retaliated by threatening to slap a 10% tariff on those countries, increasing to 25% on June 1, “until such time as a Deal is reached for the Complete and Total purchase of Greenland.” That has been met with outrage and indignation by the NATO members affected. There were large anti-US demonstrations yesterday in Nuuk, Greenland's capital, and Copenhagen, Denmark. 

And here's a doozy:

Reuters reported today that Trump appears to be trying to set up his own organization to rival the United Nations. The administration has sent letters to leaders from several countries inviting them to be part of a “Board of Peace” led by the U.S. The board would first tackle the crisis in Gaza and then go on to take on other crises around the world.

Bloomberg reported today that the draft charter for the proposed organization makes Trump the board’s first chair and gives him the power to choose a successor. He would decide what countries can be members. Each member state would get one vote in the organization, but the chair would have to approve all decisions. The draft says that each member state has a term of no more than three years unless the chair renews it, but that limit doesn’t apply to any member states “that contribute more than USD $1,000,000,000 in cash funds to the Board of Peace within the first year of the Charter’s entry into force.” The draft suggests that Trump himself will control that money.

The DOJ has announced investigations into Minnesota governor Tim Walz and Minneapolis mayor Jacob Frey:

Trump’s reliance on bogus investigations to establish a narrative is well established. This tactic of launching investigations to seed the idea that a political opponent has committed crimes has been a staple of the Republican Party since at least the 1990s. As the media reported on those investigations, people assumed that there must be something to them. Trump adopted this tactic wholeheartedly, most famously when he tried to force Ukraine president Volodymyr Zelensky to announce he was opening an investigation into Hunter Biden—not actually to open the investigation, but simply to announce it—before Trump would release to Ukraine the money Congress had appropriated it to help it fight off Russia’s invasion. 

The latest polls indicate strong disapproval of Trump:

A new CNN poll released Friday shows that 58 percent of Americans believe that Trump’s first year in office has been a failure. Americans worry most about the economy, but concerns about democracy come in second. The numbers beyond that continue to be bad for Trump.  66 percent of Americans think Trump doesn’t care about people like them. 53 percent think he doesn’t have the stamina and sharpness to serve effectively as president. 65 percent of Americans say Trump is not someone they are proud to have as president.

What will the Trumpster think of next? (News this morning is that 1,500 regular-service military troops are readying for Trump's order to deploy to Minneapolis, presumably after invoking the Insurrection Act.

And on we go. 


 

 

Friday, January 16, 2026

Paul Krugman: "The Minneapolis Crucible"

 

 

Click here for Paul Krugman's Substack entry for January 15, entitled "The Minneapolis Crucible," subtitled "Will we forge democracy anew?"

His article starts out in pretty apocalyptic fashion:

When Trump won the 2024 election, I feared — rightly — that our democracy would soon be in great peril. Between gerrymandering, a corrupt Supreme Court, a compliant Republican Party, and a tsunami of political donations from the tech broligarchy, I thought American democracy might soon perish. 

He goes on to say that he expected events to unfold the way they did in Viktor Orban's Hungary -- "a slow, ineluctable descent as institutions and people resigned themselves to the seemingly inevitable"; suppression of independent media, co-opting of business by crony capitalism, rigging of electoral and judicial systems.

But what's happened in the U.S. is different. "Trump and his minions aren’t patient. They want retribution and subjugation. Threats and dominance displays are how they operate. They burn with racism, misogyny, and performative cruelty."

So now we have Minneapolis, America’s laboratory of democratic destruction, where ICE agents have gone full Sturmabteilung, terrorizing and even killing not only people with brown skin, but anyone who protests or gets in their way. 

This may be for the better, Krugman says. He feels the way people are mobilizing against the ICE thugs is extremely encouraging:

While our institutions and our elites have failed us, ordinary Americans are rising to the occasion. If Minneapolis is a laboratory of democratic destruction, it has also become a laboratory of civil resistance — organized civil resistance, of a kind we haven’t seen since the civil rights movement. When ICE is on the rampage, crowds of brave Americans, summoned by texts and whistles, quickly gather to stand against the masked men with guns. As the outrage grows, people of common decency — like the federal prosecutors in Minnesota who chose to resign rather than pervert justice by going after Renee Nicole Good’s wife — are taking a stand.

So what’s happening now is both horrifying and inspiring. How will it all end? I don’t know, but maybe, just maybe, our democracy isn’t being destroyed — it’s being forged anew in the hands of the American people.

I hope Krugman's optimism is warranted. 

 

 

 

Thursday, January 15, 2026

Click here for an article at reuters.com entitled "Five takeaways from the Reuters interview of President Trump," by James Oliphant.

One quote in particular stood out to me:

The president expressed frustration that his Republican Party could lose control of the U.S. House of Representatives or the Senate in this year’s midterm elections, citing historical trends that have seen the party in power lose seats in the second year of a presidency.
 
“It's some deep psychological thing, but when you win the presidency, you don't win the midterms,” Trump said. He boasted that he had accomplished so much that “when you think of it, we shouldn't even have an election.”

Also:

Trump repeatedly dismissed concerns by the public, business leaders and even his fellow Republicans on issues ranging from the future of Greenland and the criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, to the state of the economy. 

When told that a Reuters/Ipsos poll found tepid support among Americans for taking control of Greenland, Trump called the poll “fake.”
 
"I don't care," he responded when asked about the pushback by some Senate Republicans against the investigation into Powell. "I don't care," he said again, when reminded of JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon’s concerns that White House interference in the Fed could harm the economy.

Problems with the economy? No, says Trump. The economy is the strongest in history, and Republicans just have to do a better job of bragging about their accomplishments.

He doesn't have a clue about what to do in Iran. In Gaza, he says “They were born with a gun in the hand,” so they won't accept his "peace proposal." He deplores the fact that in Minneapolis "There was very little respect shown to the police, in this case, the ICE officers."

It's going to be a long three years, folks. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Wednesday, January 14, 2026

Coercien on Fed Chair Jerome Powell

Caring Guy, on Twitter, nails it again:
Kevin, Larry, what you are describing is not accountability, it is coercion.

Telling Fed Chair Jerome Powell to resign in order to “dodge an indictment” is a threat wrapped in a suggestion. That is pressure from elected officials designed to influence the outcome of a potential criminal process, and that crosses a bright ethical and legal line. You are effectively saying comply or face prosecution. That is not how the rule of law works in a democracy.

If there is evidence of a crime, prosecutors pursue it regardless of whether someone resigns. If there is not evidence, floating indictment talk to force a resignation is an abuse of power. Either way, resignation has nothing to do with criminal exposure, and pretending otherwise is misleading at best.

It also directly undermines the independence of the Federal Reserve. Using the threat of indictment to force out a Fed Chair is the textbook definition of political interference. Markets understand that immediately, which is why comments like this create instability instead of confidence.

And let’s be clear, members of Congress do not indict people. Prosecutors do. When Kevin Cramer publicly implies that resignation could make criminal exposure disappear, he is signaling political leverage over law enforcement. That is exactly the kind of conduct Republicans claim to oppose.

If you believe Powell committed a crime, say so clearly and present evidence. If you do not, stop hinting at indictments to force a resignation. What you are suggesting is not a win win, it is coercion, plain and simple.