The clickbait teaser at the Daily Caller site is "This Presidential Poll Has Forecast Every Election Since 1960. The 2016 Winner Is..." I clicked, assuming it would forecast Trump to be the winner. Surprise, surprise!
The poll seems goofy: It samples "About 153,000 students ranging from kindergarten through 12th grade ..." It's called the Scholastic News Student Vote, and the kids' votes are probably strongly influenced by views their parents hold.
Scientific and credible? No -- but:
Scholastic has conducted its national presidential poll among students every four years since 1940. Since it was introduced, the poll has been wrong only twice. In 1948, America’s students picked Thomas Dewey, who lost to Harry Truman. In 1960, students picked Richard Nixon, who lost a very close election to John F. Kennedy.Picking Nixon over Kennedy and Dewey over Truman are not exactly outlandish picks; those were two of the closest elections in American history (and there are credible allegations that the election was fraudulently won with the help of Joseph P. Kennedy's political cronies, like the notoriously corrupt Richard J. Daley in Chicago.
Anyway, the poll predicts a 52% victory for Clinton; Trump draws 35%. Clinton not only wins Florida and Ohio, but takes Republican strongholds Georgia, Texas, and Alaska. Out of the mouths of babes? Let's hope!
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